666

[Gazza M]

The formula needed for 38 points and probable safety. 

 

6 wins

6 draws

6 defeats. 

 

Would need to suddenly become a mid table side but it is possible. In all reality we need to become much harder to beat at home and win our games against bottom 6 rivals. 

[KrefelderFox666]

I thought this was going to be a post about Iron Maiden

[ronnup]

It'll be a lot less then 38

[KrefelderFox666]

3 minutes ago, Gazza M said:

The formula needed for 38 points and probable safety. 

 

6 wins

6 draws

6 defeats. 

 

Would need to suddenly become a mid table side but it is possible. In all reality we need to become much harder to beat at home and win our games against bottom 6 rivals. 

When you put it like that it seems unachievable for us based on what we have seen so far. But the same will go for the others near us. The "6 pointers" are going to be decisive. Lose a few of them and we leave ourselves too much to do.

[KrefelderFox666]

Just now, ronnup said:

It'll be a lot less then 38

I think so too

[Pliskin]

I reckon 28 points will keep you up this season….. 

[Gazza M]

Maybe we could get Dyno Rod to sponsor us and make it our mission to flush the Everton turd. Could see 36 maybe being enough but not less than that as there will be 1 team in 17th up and around that mark in my opinion. 

[Sly]

8 minutes ago, Pliskin said:

I reckon 28 points will keep you up this season….. 

I think it’ll be a tad higher but in the 30 - 32 point range.

 

Mid table teams will Zone out.

 

Our run is though is against bottom end, so it won’t favour us’ 

[Silva Fox]

Can we exorcise Rudkin out of the club while we're at it!

[Pita]

Where are we going to get 6 wins we will be lucky to get 6 draws

[SouthStandUpperTier]

I think 33 points will be needed. So 6 wins and a draw, or 5 wins and 4 draws. Not impossible, but highly unlikely imo.

[adejo92]

Wonder where them points come from then.

 

You'd think the likes of Palace at home but I think they'll beat us too.

[Paninistickers]

We only need a point more than two of Ipswich, Wolves and Everton..

 

Whilst we are a win away from safety during this horrendous bad run, it ain't too bad. 

 

Edit, but answering the six wins question; 

 

It's the mid table shite you can pick points up against; Fulham at home, man U at home, Brentford at home, ....saints at home should be a gimme. Means we need a couple out of the bag,.like the appalling west ham away and a big relegation off v Ipswich 

 

Edit edit; the draws 

 

Everton, wolves, spurs, palace and maybe bum a big unexpected point like away at Newcastle again 

Edited 5 January by Paninistickers
Draws and wins

[urban.spaceman]

i bet 666 is Rudkin’s number

[Happy Fox]

We are likely to lose at least another 8 games on paper unless we dramatically improve our form on the pitch against sides we are inferior to.

 

Tottenham (a) - loss
Arsenal (h) - loss

Chelsea (a) - loss

Manchester City (a) - loss

Newcastle (h) - loss

Brighton (a) - loss

Liverpool (h) - loss

Notts Forest (a) - loss

 

 

That gives us 10 games to get points from.

 

I would say we need at least realistically 20+ points from those games against sides around us and potentially we could win, to give us a fighting chance of staying up.

 

Palace (h)

Fulham (h)

Everton (a)

Brentford (h)

Manchester United (h)

Wolves (a)

West Ham (a)

Southampton (h)

Ipswich (h)

Bournemouth (a)

 

The task at hand is a very tough one no denying that it’s absolutely crucial we bring in some quality players in January.

[StanSP]

Why is 38 points the barometer? 

 

Given the quality of the league and how few points already in place by this stage from the bottom 3/4, it'll take a lot less to survive. 

 

And it'll be all the more embarrassing that we get relegated with that being the case. 

 

I think it'll be 30 points max to survive. 

 

Which means we're looking at 5 wins and a draw. From somewhere. 

 

I can only pinpoint the next couple of home league games, Ipswich at home, Southampton at home and maybe sneaking an away win from somewhere for those victories. I genuinely don't see where we get other points from right now. 

[Happy Fox]

2 minutes ago, StanSP said:

Why is 38 points the barometer? 

 

Given the quality of the league and how few points already in place by this stage from the bottom 3/4, it'll take a lot less to survive. 

 

And it'll be all the more embarrassing that we get relegated with that being the case. 

 

I think it'll be 30 points max to survive. 

 

Which means we're looking at 5 wins and a draw. From somewhere. 

 

I can only pinpoint the next couple of home league games, Ipswich at home, Southampton at home and maybe sneaking an away win from somewhere for those victories. I genuinely don't see where we get other points from right now. 

It’s unlikely we will need that many to survive but that target would most certainly keep us up. I think 34 points will be enough , but it may come down to goal difference! So we have to improve on that front somehow.

[Nolucklcfc]

Ipswich would have won that yesterday. 

[Tomo260]

Palace (h) is a MUST WIN. Any other result we can confirm EFL next season.

 

We need a RB this January window at a minimum, a new CB too really 

 

[String fellow]

Using the letters-to-numbers coding system of:

A=1 B=2 C=3 up to I=9,

J=10 K=20 L=30 up to R=90,

S=100 T=200 U=300 up to Z=800,

the number of the beast, 666, represents FOX!

[Dan]

35 I think will about do it - so 7 wins, 6 wins and 3 draws, 5 wins and 6 draws etc...

[Nalis]

Considering we seem to pick up a grand total of fvck all points in matches we aren't expected to such as yesterday, it puts huge pressure on winning the other matches that don't fall into that category.

[Sol thewall Bamba]

2 minutes ago, Nalis said:

Considering we seem to pick up a grand total of fvck all points in matches we aren't expected to such as yesterday, it puts huge pressure on winning the other matches that don't fall into that category.

The only game that doesn't fall into that category now is Saints at home. Every other game is against a team above us. It's already over imo.

[TheStig]

5 hours ago, Gazza M said:

The formula needed for 38 points and probable safety. 

 

6 wins

6 draws

6 defeats. 

 

Would need to suddenly become a mid table side but it is possible. In all reality we need to become much harder to beat at home and win our games against bottom 6 rivals. 

As we NEVER get anything against a top 6 side the task looks slightly difficult with basically 12 more matches (taking out the top 6 matches) to gain the points. Would require a drastic change in attitude and fortune. Seems impossible IMO

 

[Simonb]

4 hours ago, Happy Fox said:

We are likely to lose at least another 8 games on paper unless we dramatically improve our form on the pitch against sides we are inferior to.

 

Tottenham (a) - loss
Arsenal (h) - loss

Chelsea (a) - loss

Manchester City (a) - loss

Newcastle (h) - loss

Brighton (a) - loss

Liverpool (h) - loss

Notts Forest (a) - loss

 

 

That gives us 10 games to get points from.

 

I would say we need at least realistically 20+ points from those games against sides around us and potentially we could win, to give us a fighting chance of staying up.

 

Palace (h)

Fulham (h)

Everton (a)

Brentford (h)

Manchester United (h)

Wolves (a)

West Ham (a)

Southampton (h)

Ipswich (h)

Bournemouth (a)

 

The task at hand is a very tough one no denying that it’s absolutely crucial we bring in some quality players in January.

Get the right players in.. all of those home games in the second list are winnable to be fair.. so it is achievable albeit with a monstrous upturn in form