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Posted

Labour hiring Sue Gray was never a good look, for either Labour or Sue Gray. Iโ€™m surprised they never realised that.

Posted

Some of my thoughts have been way off the mark but with reports from channel 12 in Israel that sinwar has made contact with negotiators ย (after many weeks of nothing) and from yesterday that Israel ย think theyโ€™ve destroyed every tunnel under the Philadelphi corridor into Egypt, ย I think the window for a ceasefire deal in Gaza is as large as itโ€™s been for many months.ย 
ย 

(add that domestically BN is no longer totally reliant on some of the ultra right for his majority)ย 

ย 

with war ongoing with Hezbollah, BN doesnโ€™t need war in Gaza to maintain his premiership. (At the moment). ย 

Posted
17 minutes ago, st albans fox said:

Some of my thoughts have been way off the mark but with reports from channel 12 in Israel that sinwar has made contact with negotiators ย (after many weeks of nothing) and from yesterday that Israel ย think theyโ€™ve destroyed every tunnel under the Philadelphi corridor into Egypt, ย I think the window for a ceasefire deal in Gaza is as large as itโ€™s been for many months.ย 
ย 

(add that domestically BN is no longer totally reliant on some of the ultra right for his majority)ย 

ย 

with war ongoing with Hezbollah, BN doesnโ€™t need war in Gaza to maintain his premiership. (At the moment). ย 

Surely a ceasefire in Gaza, would lead to a ceasefire everywhere?ย 
ย 

Is Sinwar in Gaza or Qatar?

Posted (edited)
1 hour ago, Lionator said:

Surely a ceasefire in Gaza, would lead to a ceasefire everywhere?ย 
ย 

Is Sinwar in Gaza or Qatar?

sinwar should be in Gaza โ€ฆโ€ฆ..

I believe that the IDF had him in a location after they took control of the philadelphi corridorย 

ย 

Hezbollah had said that a ceasefire in Gaza would mean they stopped lobbing rockets into n Israel (with responses) - that was before Israel upped the ante on them. a ceasefire requires both sides to ceasefire and I canโ€™t see Israel letting them re equip and re establish their military structure. ย This gives BN the chance to agree something in Gaza whilst still keeping the country at war in the north- a fight which does have wide domestic supportย 

Edited by st albans fox
Posted
34 minutes ago, st albans fox said:

sinwar should be in Gaza โ€ฆโ€ฆ..

I believe that the IDF had him in a location after they took control of the philadelphi corridorย 

ย 

Hezbollah had said that a ceasefire in Gaza would mean they stopped lobbing rockets into n Israel (with responses) - that was before Israel upped the ante on them. a ceasefire requires both sides to ceasefire and I canโ€™t see Israel letting them re equip and re establish their military structure. ย This gives BN the chance to agree something in Gaza whilst still keeping the country at war in the north- a fight which does have wide domestic supportย 

Which of course is exactly what Netanyahu wants to keep perpetuating as such bloodshed distracts the populace from his... rather questionable decision-making and self-interest.

Posted
9 hours ago, Tommy G said:

Let's see what job Morgan McSweeney makes of running the country instead of Sue Grayย 

I thought it was Lord Alli that was running the countryย :Pย 

ย 

McSweeney seems an open goal if there was a competent opposition given he was fined by the electoral commission for failing to declare donations.

  • Like 1
Posted
17 minutes ago, leicsmac said:

Which of course is exactly what Netanyahu wants to keep perpetuating as such bloodshed distracts the populace from his... rather questionable decision-making and self-interest.

There is a risk for his opponents that if he gets a ceasefire in Gaza (with the return of any living hostages) then a continuation of war against hezbollah will build his support base further.ย 
mind you, I think sinwar is alive to this and will attempt to exact a high price (probably many high value prisoners released ). ย Sinwar should try to connect Gaza and Lebanon to avoid this happening. ย Actually - that window is narrowing again !ย 

Posted
7 hours ago, bovril said:

How can we give away a territory with such a banging coat of arms

ย 

May be an image of turtle and text

I don't often say this, but...

ย 

Very stately turtles.

  • Haha 2
Posted
3 hours ago, st albans fox said:

There is a risk for his opponents that if he gets a ceasefire in Gaza (with the return of any living hostages) then a continuation of war against hezbollah will build his support base further.ย 
mind you, I think sinwar is alive to this and will attempt to exact a high price (probably many high value prisoners released ). ย Sinwar should try to connect Gaza and Lebanon to avoid this happening. ย Actually - that window is narrowing again !ย 


ย 

I actually think thereโ€™s far more factions operating in Gaza than perhaps we realize.. it gives Hamas the perfect opportunity to carry on the war by supplying other groups with their own arms โ€œ ooh itโ€™s not us firing the rockets itโ€™s the pesky ISISโ€ type thing. ย Either that or I just see the more militant aspect of Hamas morphing into another ย  Brutal organization. Also, ย once the hostages are returned ( I feel thereโ€™s less alive than we realize) then the IDF will become even more brutal in flooding whatโ€™s left of the tunnel network. Flooding the tunnel network will be catastrophic for the environment ย and render the farmland useless.

ย 

ย 

ย In short, i just donโ€™t see how peace can be found between ย 2 sides committed to each others destructionย :(

Posted

Only way this ends is if "the west" puts a stop to our support of what is essentially a genocide.

  • Like 2
Posted
6 hours ago, ozleicester said:

Only way this ends is if "the west" puts a stop to our support of what is essentially a genocide.

Or Hamas return the hostages.ย 

  • Like 1
Posted
46 minutes ago, Otis said:

Or Hamas return the hostages.ย 

Hamas would prefer โ€˜the genocideโ€™

ย 

therein lies the problem on one sideย 

ย 

clearly sig issues on the other too but being comfortable to see their people go through such horrendous trauma isnโ€™t one of themย 

ย 

Posted
37 minutes ago, st albans fox said:

Hamas would prefer โ€˜the genocideโ€™

ย 

therein lies the problem on one sideย 

ย 

clearly sig issues on the other too but being comfortable to see their people go through such horrendous trauma isnโ€™t one of themย 

ย 

And it wouldn't end there for the other side, either.

ย 

The Israelis now clearly want security for their own people through proper Old Testament style vengeance on a disproportionate scale. How well that sits and how justifiable it is clearly is up to the individual beholder.

Posted
8 hours ago, ozleicester said:

Only way this ends is if "the west" puts a stop to our support of what is essentially a genocide.


ย 

we are not supporting Hamas that much are we?

ย 

ย 

ย 

Seriously though, both as bad as each other. Just Israel are more powerful than Hamas so are doing it on a larger scale.

  • Like 1
Posted
55 minutes ago, SkidsFox said:

All ears at 3.30 pm. Tories announce the results of the next stage of the leadership ballot.ย  Will Cleverly make it to the final vote?

Probably, I think he's the best out of a desperate bunch. He's certainly more right centre, looking at approval ratings today he won't even need to go on the offensive that much if he becomes leader of the opposition.

  • Like 1
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