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norfolkfox222

Points for promotion

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Posted

yeah i looked for one a few games back just to reassure myself we were going to win it by miles but couldn't find one :(

 

did exactly the same haha! I would work it out myself but im too lazy

Posted

To smash Reading's record we need to win 10 out of the last 12 which would give us 107.

 

Don't see why not! 9 wins 3 draws..we're definitely capable!

Posted

To smash Reading's record we need to win 10 out of the last 12 which would give us 107. 

 

If we lose the other two, yes. Could also do it by drawing three games - Burnley, Wigan and Reading, say.

Posted

I think there will be a few of us like that lol

Its been a long 10 years - as a teenager the match of the day theme used to bring shivers when we'd had a win or scraped a draw, cant wait.

Posted

Its been a long 10 years - as a teenager the match of the day theme used to bring shivers when we'd had a win or scraped a draw, cant wait.

Me neither, will be bloody great when we finally do it :fc:
Posted

If anyone wants a crack at my pretty crude attempt at a championship predictor download it from here! (follow the link, file, download.)

 

https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B5454GMshwaQWkY0MFVNelczTjQ/edit?usp=sharing

 

hopefully it works...let me know if it doesn't. 

 

Also im aware its not perfect, it won't work for game by game predictions because as for it to work I had to make every game a draw. Works for final predictions though!

 

Oh and its also a couple of games behind.

Posted

As of tonights results, 20 more points guarantees promotion     :thumbup:     29 more points guarantees the title :scarf:  :chant:

 

Leicester  77 pts   max poss 113        games left  12

Burnley    69 pts    max poss 105       games left  12

Derby       62 pts   max poss    95       gamesleft   11

QPR         60 pts   max poss    96      games left   12

Forest       56 pts   max poss    89      games left   11

Reading    55 pts   max poss    91      games left   12

Wigan        52 pts  max poss    94      games left   14 

 

Pretty sure Reading only have 11 games left and thus a maximum of 88 points.

 

It would be good to see Wigan, Derby and QPR drop some more points quickly.

Some Key potential matches coming up this month.

15th Ipswich v Wigan

        Reading v Derby

 

22nd  Derby v Forest

          Middlesborough v QPR

 

25th   Ipswich v Derby

           QPR v Wigan

 

Our next two home games are really games we must win as we have 3 very tricky away games at Blackburn, Burnley and Wigan to come.

We've a tricky run of games coming up and I can't see us being promoted before the home game  against Brighton unless other teams keep losing points at the current rate.

Posted

Love these threads! The great thing is, I can't be arsed with all the maths behind it,however, I really appreciate those that do and post, thank you.

My personal feeling, with assumed dropped points from those chasing, I would still put my money on it being the Sheffield Wednesday game, which I feel would be perfect. Imagine clinching our place in the Premier League at the KP, full house under the lights on a Friday night with the footballing world able to watch it live on Sky. Then one hell of a fookin party with time to recover :P:beer: :beer: :beer: :beer: :beer: :beer: :beer: :beer: :beer: :beer: :beer:

Sends shivers just thinking about it! COYB

Posted

2ppg means 92 points should be enough

 

92-77= 18 points.

 

6 wins should be enough for the title.

 

4 wins for automatic promotion could be secured at Burnley (if they lose tonight that is guaranteed to be a possibility).

Posted

I think 96 for the title. 90 points will see 2nd place promoted.

Hope we can secure promotion against Brighton. Just so sky aren't there for it.

Posted

Love these threads! The great thing is, I can't be arsed with all the maths behind it,however, I really appreciate those that do and post, thank you.

My personal feeling, with assumed dropped points from those chasing, I would still put my money on it being the Sheffield Wednesday game, which I feel would be perfect. Imagine clinching our place in the Premier League at the KP, full house under the lights on a Friday night with the footballing world able to watch it live on Sky. Then one hell of a fookin party with time to recover :P:beer: :beer: :beer: :beer: :beer: :beer: :beer: :beer: :beer: :beer: :beer:

Sends shivers just thinking about it! COYB

To send you spinning....how many pints do you think you need to drink, before city are confirmed as promoted, then how

Many there after, for title...dont spill any, and grap some scratchings

Posted

Love these threads! The great thing is, I can't be arsed with all the maths behind it,however, I really appreciate those that do and post, thank you.

My personal feeling, with assumed dropped points from those chasing, I would still put my money on it being the Sheffield Wednesday game, which I feel would be perfect. Imagine clinching our place in the Premier League at the KP, full house under the lights on a Friday night with the footballing world able to watch it live on Sky. Then one hell of a fookin party with time to recover :P:beer: :beer: :beer: :beer: :beer: :beer: :beer: :beer: :beer: :beer: :beer:

Sends shivers just thinking about it! COYB

Posted

2ppg means 92 points should be enough

92-77= 18 points.

6 wins should be enough for the title.

4 wins for automatic promotion could be secured at Burnley (if they lose tonight that is guaranteed to be a possibility).

Don't apply for a job on Countdown any time soon

Posted

Pretty sure Reading only have 11 games left and thus a maximum of 88 points.

 

It would be good to see Wigan, Derby and QPR drop some more points quickly.

Some Key potential matches coming up this month.

15th Ipswich v Wigan

        Reading v Derby

 

22nd  Derby v Forest

          Middlesborough v QPR

 

25th   Ipswich v Derby

           QPR v Wigan

 

Our next two home games are really games we must win as we have 3 very tricky away games at Blackburn, Burnley and Wigan to come.

We've a tricky run of games coming up and I can't see us being promoted before the home game  against Brighton unless other teams keep losing points at the current rate.

 

Why are you worrying about Wiganor Reading or Forest?

 

Wigan are 24 points behind us - that's nearly half the total they've secured in 33 games so far

Forest are 21 points behind us with only 11 to play.

 

They are seriously no threat to us at all.

 

even QPR are 17 points behind us - that's 6 wins in matches at the same time as us losing 6 matches and matching the other 6 games. Yes it's possible but it's very very unlikely.

 

We would need the mother of all **** ups not to be promoted from the position that we're in.

Posted

the most Derby will get is 84 points ( to do that they have to average 2 points per game for the rest of the season which they wont do). We need 8 more points from 12 games to get to 85 ... that is bottom 3 form !! That isnt going to happen either .

Get that banner ready to fly over Watford on the 3rd May .....'Good things come to those who wait , we are premier league'

Posted

Over the last few seasons this is what would have gained promotion. Last year 79 points got automatic promotion with 3rd place just behind. In 11/12 89 points to the runners up, in 10/11, QPRs promotion year, 85 for the runner up but 80 would have been enough. In 9/10 Newcastle were promoted with 102 points an West Brom were 2nd with 92. Third place only 79. Both of those teams still there as I type! And in 8/9 Wolves were champions and 3rd place hit 80 points.

So on 77 not quite there but close - more important history suggests 90 plus to survive and the Newcastle target of 102 would be so sweet.

Posted

Statto.com is a great site for points prediction. They have us on 98 points and burnley on 89 points on season form. That seems about right to me. When Reading got the record points, they only lost 2 games all season.

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