Fun-Packed Election Predictions Competition

[Alf Bentley]

Please save all arguments and rhetoric for other threads. This one is all about fun!

 

Predict the general election and you could win a fantastic prize.

 

Insert answers, overwrite, use bold, whatever so long as it's clear.

Submission/editing of entries accepted any time before 9.40 pm on election day (Thurs. 12th December).

 

Election Outcome (5 points if correct)

- Tory majority of 80+

- Tory majority of 40-79

- Tory majority of 20-39

- Tory majority of 1-19

- Hung parliament, Tories biggest party

- Hung parliament, Labour biggest party

- Labour majority

- Other (specify)

 

(Note: Majority increases by 2 with each extra seat - e.g. 326 v. 324 = 2-seat majority, 327 v. 323 = 4-seat majority; Speaker, Deputies & Sinn Fein included in 650 total)

 

Total seats per party (2017 figures in brackets)

Con (317), Lab (262), SNP (35), Lib Dems (12), Plaid (4), Greens (1), Brexit Party (0), DUP (10), Sinn Fein (7), Independents (1), Other - specify (1)

 

(For Con/Lab: 5pts if exact; 3pts if within 5; 1pt if within 10; For SNP/LD: 3pts if exact; 1pt if within 3; for others: 1pt if exact)

 

Name the first 3 seats to declare (any order, 1pt for each)

 

Early declarers at recent elections have included: Sunderland Central, Sunderland South, Sunderland West, Newcastle Central, Newcastle East, Newcastle North, Torbay, Cheltenham, Wrexham, Guildford, Belfast E & Hamilton.

But how might that be affected by high/low turnout in different areas, icy weather in the grim north, close contests/recounts etc.?

 

"Big name" failures (+1pt for each predicted correctly; -1pt for each predicted incorrectly)

 

Which of the following "big names" will fail to get elected?

 

Boris Johnson, Dominic Raab, Emily Thornberry, Ed Miliband, Jo Swinson, Chuka Umunna, Dominic Grieve, Anna  Soubry, Ian Duncan Smith, Zac Goldsmith, Jess Phillips, Dennis Skinner, Caroline Flint, John Redwood, Theresa Villiers, Tim Farron, Caroline Lucas, Nigel Dodds, Luciana Berger

 

Who will win these seats? (1pt for each; 2017 winner in brackets)

 

Canterbury (Lab), Kensington (Lab), Sheffield Hallam (Lab), Ynys Mon (Lab), Grimsby (Lab), Sedgefield (Lab), Peterborough (Lab), Stoke Central (Lab), Hartlepool (Lab), Rotherham (Lab), Wrexham (Lab), Blackpool South (Lab)

Stirling (Con), Loughborough (Con), Hastings & Rye (Con), St. Ives (Con), St. Albans (Con), Lewes (Con), Southampton Itchen (Con), Fife NE (SNP), Belfast South (DUP), Belfast East (DUP)

 

Tie-break question: Predict turnout to 2 decimal figures (e.g. 65.44%):

 

 

[Alf Bentley]

The fantastic prizes donated by political celebrities

 

1st: Take politics back to the 70s as you fly Concorde to New York & enjoy a retro Broadway show: The Black & Orange Minstrel Show, starring Trudeau & Trump. Justin & Donald are having a party, take your tanning lotion & your boot polish!

2nd: Enjoy a romantic candlelight dinner for 2 with Prince Andrew at Woking Pizza Express, then dance the night away at Tramp. Think you'll score? No sweat!

3rd: Split your sides laughing at the Christmas Pantomime as Widow Twankey (Michael Gove) launders the Tory record & Pinocchio (Boris Johnson) pretends he was never there & tells outrageous lies

4th: Combine your progressive social values & allotment skills as you join Jeremy Corbyn to work on an Israeli kibbutz - strictly no building of settlements or firing of rockets

5th: Join the ever-charming Jacob Rees-Mogg as you lounge on a comfortably padded green bench for 40 years, waiting to pluck the ripe fruits of Brexit (keeping your dosh safe in Dublin until then)

6th: Spend a fascinating night in the launderette with expert launderer Keith Vaz. Keith will provide the washing powder. You're bound to come out smelling of roses!

7th: Keep it strong and stable as you run naked through a field of wheat with racy daredevil Theresa May

8th: Join Diane Abbott at Battersea Dogs' Home as she visits her incarcerated son. Perhaps she'll conduct an audit while she's there?

9th: Laugh yourself giddy as Jo Swinson announces she'll revoke her gym membership when she takes charge of the gym, then pivots to a people's vote on gym membership before realising nobody likes her

10th: Weep with emotion as Chuka Umunna recreates the Greek Tragedy of Narcissus. Don't fall in, Chuka!

[Nick]

@Alf Bentley making elections fun since... err this morning.

 

Fantastic way of getting some buy in and engagement in the FPTP pointless process though! 

Edited 5 December 2019 by Nick

[Darkon84]

I'll have to come back to this with my predictions later on if/when I get more time, but what a great idea. Top work @Alf Bentley, bravo, sir, bravo!

[David Guiza]

Election Outcome 

Hung parliament, Tories biggest party

 

Total seats per party 

Con (318), Lab (256), SNP (43), Lib Dems (10), Plaid (4), Greens (2), Brexit Party (0), DUP (9), Sinn Fein (7), Independents (0), Social Dems (1)

 

Name the first 3 seats to declare 

 

Sunderland South, Newcastle Central, Sunderland Central 

 

"Big name" failures - Which of the following "big names" will fail to get elected?

 

Dominic Raab, Chuka Umunna, Dominic Grieve, Ian Duncan Smith, Zac Goldsmith, Tim Farron - some of those may be more in hope than expectation. 

 

Who will win these seats? 

 

Canterbury (Lab), Kensington (Lab), Sheffield Hallam (LibDem), Ynys Mon (Lab), Grimsby (Con), Sedgefield (Lab), Peterborough (Lab), Stoke Central (Con), Hartlepool (Con), Rotherham (Lab), Wrexham (Lab), Blackpool South (Lab)

Stirling (SNP), Loughborough (Con), Hastings & Rye (Lab), St. Ives (Con), St. Albans (Con), Lewes (Con), Southampton Itchen (Con), Fife NE (SNP), Belfast South (DUP), Belfast East (DUP)

 

Tie-break question: Predict turnout to 2 decimal figures 

67.2%

 

 

Some of the above is more in hope than expectation, but a rough guess nonetheless. 

[Mark_w]

Election Outcome (5 points if correct)

- Hung parliament, Tories biggest party

 

Total seats per party

Con (312), Lab (254), SNP (46), Lib Dems (14), Plaid (4), Greens (1), Brexit Party (0), DUP (9), Sinn Fein (8), SDLP (1), Independents (0), Other - specify (1)

 

Name the first 3 seats to declare (any order, 1pt for each)

Sunderland Central, Sunderland South, Newcastle Central

 

"Big name" failures (+1pt for each predicted correctly; -1pt for each predicted incorrectly)

Ed Miliband, Jo Swinson, Chuka Umunna, Dominic Grieve, Anna Soubry, Ian Duncan Smith, Zac Goldsmith, Caroline Flint, Theresa Villiers, Nigel Dodds, Luciana Berger

 

Who will win these seats? (1pt for each)

 

Canterbury (Lab), Kensington (Lab), Sheffield Hallam (Lib Dem), Ynys Mon (Lab), Grimsby (Con), Sedgefield (Con), Peterborough (Con), Stoke Central (Lab), Hartlepool (Lab), Rotherham (Lab), Wrexham (Lab), Blackpool South (Con), Stirling (SNP), Loughborough (Con), Hastings & Rye (Con), St. Ives (Lib Dem), St. Albans (Lib Dem), Lewes (Con), Southampton Itchen (Con), Fife NE (Lib Dem), Belfast South (SDLP), Belfast East (DUP)

 

Tie-break question: Predict turnout to 2 decimal figures (e.g. 65.44%):
68.03%

Edited 6 December 2019 by Mark_w

[Guest MattP]

Election Outcome 

Tory majority 20-39

 

Total seats per party 

Con (341), Lab (233), SNP (40), Lib Dems (15), Plaid (2), Greens (1), Brexit Party (0), DUP (9), Sinn Fein (8), Independents (1), Social Dems (1)

 

Name the first 3 seats to declare 

 

Sunderland South, Sunderland West, Sunderland Central 

 

Which of the following "big names" will fail to get elected?

 

Chuka Umunna, Dominic Grieve, Anna Soubry, Zac Goldsmith, Dennis Skinner, Caroline Flint, Luciana Berger

 

Who will win these seats? (1pt for each; 2017 winner in brackets)

 

Canterbury (Con), Kensington (Con), Sheffield Hallam (Lib Dem), Ynys Mon (Con), Grimsby (Con), Sedgefield (Lab), Peterborough (Con), Stoke Central (Con), Hartlepool (Lab), Rotherham (Lab), Wrexham (Con), Blackpool South (Con) Stirling (SNP), Loughborough (Con), Hastings & Rye (Con), St. Ives (Con), St. Albans (Lib Dems), Lewes (Con), Southampton Itchen (Con), Fife NE (SNP), Belfast South (SDLP), Belfast East (DUP)

 

Predict turnout to 2 decimal figures

 

65.6%

 

Edited 6 December 2019 by MattP

[LiberalFox]

I predict we end up with a terrible PM.

[Alf Bentley]

43 minutes ago, LiberalFox said:

I predict we end up with a terrible PM.

 

You're already racking up the points with that prediction, mate! 

[LiberalFox]

I don't really follows the details of politics to do all of them. Tories Majority of 20-39.

 

I do think off that list it'd be a a shock if we didn't at least get Sheffield Hallam and St. Albans. Swinson's seat is under threat but hope she holds it, any of the defections winning a seat would be a surprise so expect most if not all to fail.

Edited 6 December 2019 by LiberalFox

[Alf Bentley]

1 hour ago, LiberalFox said:

I don't really follows the details of politics to do all of them. Tories Majority of 20-39.

 

I do think off that list it'd be a a shock if we didn't at least get Sheffield Hallam and St. Albans. Swinson's seat is under threat but hope she holds it, any of the defections winning a seat would be a surprise so expect most if not all to fail.

 

That counts as an entry....you're in!  ......but feel free to edit or add more predictions later if you want.

 

I tend to agree with most of what you've predicted - not least that we'll end up with a terrible PM, regardless of outcome.

 

I'll have to get around to doing my predictions, but will wait until about Tuesday in case there are any dramatic late developments.

I'm finding the consistency of bad reports from Lab seats in the North/Midlands pretty ominous, even if results elsewhere - for Lab, LDs & SNP - are better than expected.

 

Edited 6 December 2019 by Alf Bentley

[Alf Bentley]

Do people not like fun anymore? Because this Election Predictions Competition offers more fun than a day in the wheat field with Lady Theresa.....More (literally) unbelievable free prizes than a Corbyn manifesto......More lies than a Boris interview....

Never mind the Brexit, Get Yer Predictions Done!!

 

Just do some of them if you're short of time, energy or the will to live..... 

 

@Darkon84 @Kopfkino @Swan Lesta @Izzy @davieG @Mike Oxlong 

 

OK, I suppose I'd better do mine then......

 

Election Outcome:  Tory majority of 1-19 

 

Total seats per party (2017 figures in brackets)

Con (317) 333, Lab (262) 228, SNP (35) 41, Lib Dems (12) 23, Plaid (4) 4, Greens (1) 1, Brexit Party (0) 0, DUP (10) 8, Sinn Fein (7) 7, Independents (1) 1, SDLP (0) 2, Alliance (0) 1, Speaker (1) 1

 

Name the first 3 seats to declare 

 

As @MattP has gone for all the Mackems, I'll go for all the Geordies..... It's war, Matt! 

 

Newcastle Central, Newcastle East, Newcastle North

 

"Big name" failures

 

Dominic Raab, Chuka Umunna, Anna  Soubry, Ian Duncan Smith, Zac Goldsmith, Dennis Skinner, Caroline Flint, Theresa Villiers, Nigel Dodds, Luciana Berger

(I can't really believe that Raab will go, but wouldn't want to miss out if he does....I'm a little more hopeful for IDS; actually think it'll be a bit tragic on a human level if Skinner goes but think he probably will)

 

Who will win these seats? 

 

Canterbury (Lab) Lab, Kensington (Lab) Con, Sheffield Hallam (Lab) LD, Ynys Mon (Lab) Plaid, Grimsby (Lab) Con, Sedgefield (Lab) Lab, Peterborough (Lab) Con, Stoke Central (Lab) Con, Hartlepool (Lab) Lab, Rotherham (Lab) Lab, Wrexham (Lab) Con, Blackpool South (Lab) Con, Stirling (Con) SNP, Loughborough (Con) Con, Hastings & Rye (Con) Lab, St. Ives (Con) LD, St. Albans (Con) LD, Lewes (Con) LD, Southampton Itchen (Con) Lab, Fife NE (SNP) SNP, Belfast South (DUP) SDLP, Belfast East (DUP) Alliance

 

Tie-break question: Predict turnout to 2 decimal figures (e.g. 65.44%): 62.66%

[Alf Bentley]

Roll up! Roll up! Roll up!

 

All the fun of the fair....

 

@Strokes @Carl the Llama @UpTheLeagueFox @StanSP @rachhere @Babylon @FerrisBueller @leicsmac @bmt @Dr The Singh @Beechey

[Strokes]

13 minutes ago, Alf Bentley said:

Do people not like fun anymore? Because this Election Predictions Competition offers more fun than a day in the wheat field with Lady Theresa.....More (literally) unbelievable free prizes than a Corbyn manifesto......More lies than a Boris interview....

Never mind the Brexit, Get Yer Predictions Done!!

 

Just do some of them if you're short of time, energy or the will to live..... 

 

@Darkon84 @Kopfkino @Swan Lesta @Izzy @davieG @Mike Oxlong 

 

OK, I suppose I'd better do mine then......

 

Election Outcome:  Tory majority of 1-19 

 

Total seats per party (2017 figures in brackets)

Con (317) 333, Lab (262) 228, SNP (35) 41, Lib Dems (12) 23, Plaid (4) 4, Greens (1) 1, Brexit Party (0) 0, DUP (10) 8, Sinn Fein (7) 7, Independents (1) 1, SDLP (0) 2, Alliance (0) 1, Speaker (1) 1

 

Name the first 3 seats to declare 

 

As @MattP has gone for all the Mackems, I'll go for all the Geordies..... It's war, Matt! 

 

Newcastle Central, Newcastle East, Newcastle North

 

"Big name" failures

 

Dominic Raab, Chuka Umunna, Anna  Soubry, Ian Duncan Smith, Zac Goldsmith, Dennis Skinner, Caroline Flint, Theresa Villiers, Nigel Dodds, Luciana Berger

(I can't really believe that Raab will go, but wouldn't want to miss out if he does....I'm a little more hopeful for IDS; actually think it'll be a bit tragic on a human level if Skinner goes but think he probably will)

 

Who will win these seats? 

 

Canterbury (Lab) Lab, Kensington (Lab) Con, Sheffield Hallam (Lab) LD, Ynys Mon (Lab) Plaid, Grimsby (Lab) Con, Sedgefield (Lab) Lab, Peterborough (Lab) Con, Stoke Central (Lab) Con, Hartlepool (Lab) Lab, Rotherham (Lab) Lab, Wrexham (Lab) Con, Blackpool South (Lab) Con, Stirling (Con) SNP, Loughborough (Con) Con, Hastings & Rye (Con) Lab, St. Ives (Con) LD, St. Albans (Con) LD, Lewes (Con) LD, Southampton Itchen (Con) Lab, Fife NE (SNP) SNP, Belfast South (DUP) SDLP, Belfast East (DUP) Alliance

 

Tie-break question: Predict turnout to 2 decimal figures (e.g. 65.44%): 62.66%

I hadn’t seen this thread until just, I’ll do mine in the morning.

Nice work Alf.

[davieG]

Remind me tomorrow your call must have seeped into my subconscious as I just woke up and felt compelled to look😳

[StanSP]

Will do tomorrow probably! 

 

Quick one for now - turnout to be 63.12%. 

[leicsmac]

Election Outcome (5 points if correct)

- Tory majority of 80+

- Tory majority of 40-79

- Tory majority of 20-39

- Tory majority of 1-19

- Hung parliament, Tories biggest party

- Hung parliament, Labour biggest party

- Labour majority

- Other (specify)

 

(Note: Majority increases by 2 with each extra seat - e.g. 326 v. 324 = 2-seat majority, 327 v. 323 = 4-seat majority; Speaker, Deputies & Sinn Fein included in 650 total)

 

Total seats per party

Con (342), Lab (227), SNP (42), Lib Dems (16), Plaid (4), Greens (1), Brexit Party (0), DUP (10), Sinn Fein (7), Independents (1), Speaker (1)

 

(For Con/Lab: 5pts if exact; 3pts if within 5; 1pt if within 10; For SNP/LD: 3pts if exact; 1pt if within 3; for others: 1pt if exact)

 

Name the first 3 seats to declare (any order, 1pt for each)

 

Early declarers at recent elections have included: Sunderland Central, Sunderland South, Newcastle North

 

"Big name" failures (+1pt for each predicted correctly; -1pt for each predicted incorrectly)

 

Which of the following "big names" will fail to get elected?

 

Boris Johnson, Dominic Raab, Emily Thornberry, Ed Miliband, Jo Swinson, Chuka Umunna, Dominic Grieve, Anna  Soubry, Ian Duncan Smith, Zac Goldsmith, Jess Phillips, Dennis Skinner, Caroline Flint, John Redwood, Theresa Villiers, Tim Farron, Caroline Lucas, Nigel Dodds, Luciana Berger

 

Tie-break question: Predict turnout to 2 decimal figures (e.g. 65.44%):

 

69.57%

[Izzy]

If turnout is low, I'm gonna be pissed off that I never stuck that £20 on @7/1 on less than 60%

 

Therefore my turnout prediction is 59.99% 

 

(The Tory's will piss it btw with a majority of 40-79)

[Dr The Singh]

Is Swinson going to get her wabs out for the perve vote?

[davieG]

This is going to be hard as I've more or less switched off to any news etc re this election, I'm not a big fan of party type politics at the best of time but this campaign has turned me off completely. I'm only voting if I have an Independent candidate who I can get at least 50% agreement with on key issues.

 

Election Outcome 

Hung parliament, Tories biggest party

 

Total seats per party 

Con (320), Lab (254), SNP (43), Lib Dems (9), Plaid (4), Greens (3), Brexit Party (0), DUP (9), Sinn Fein (7), Independents (0), Social Dems (1)

 

Name the first 3 seats to declare 

 

Sunderland South, Sunderland Central, Newcastle Central

 

"Big name" failures - Which of the following "big names" will fail to get elected?

 

Sarah Woolaston, Philip Lee, Heidi Allen, Anna Soubry, Chuka Umnanna - (Don't know if these are actually standing)

 

Who will win these seats? 

 

Sorry Alf but I have no motivation left to reseach these

 

Tie-break question: Predict turnout to 2 decimal figures 

58%

[Alf Bentley]

@davieG

 

Thanks for those predictions, Davie. No problem re. your "lack of motivation". It's just meant to be a bit of fun (in a pretty grim campaign).

 

Heidi Allen isn't standing, but the other 4 are - Lee standing against ex-colleague John Redwood in Redwood's seat (no love lost there, presumably).

If anyone else wants to include Wollaston or Lee, they're welcome. 

[Kopfkino]

Con maj 20-39

 

Con 344 Lab 230 LD 14 SNP 41 Green 1 BXP 0 PC 2 DUP 9 SF 8 Ind 2 (couldn't give a rats arse about NI tbh)

 

Newcastle Central, Sunderland Central, Sunderland West

 

Chuka, Soubry, Goldsmith, Skinner, Flint, Berger

 

These are pure guesses, have no idea on most

Canterbury Lab, Kensington Con, Sheffield Hallam LD, Ynys Mon Con, Grimsby Con, Sedgefield Con, Peterborough Con, Stoke Central Lab, Hartlepool Lab, Rotherham Lab, Wrexham Con, Blackpool South Con Stirling SNP, Loughborough Con, Hastings & Rye Lab, St. Ives Con, St. Albans LD, Lewes Con, Southampton Itchen Con, Fife NE SNP, Belfast South DUP, Belfast East DUP

 

66.45%

 

Hoping for a trip to Battersea with Di tbh

 

[Tuna]

Election Outcome

 

Tory majority of 1-19.

 

Total seats per party

 

Con 332 Lab 236 SNP 41 Lim Dems 16 Plaid 4 Green 1 DUP 9 Sinn Fein 8, SDLP 1, Independants 1, Speaker 1.

 

Name the first 3 seats to declare

 

Sunderland South

Sunderland Central

Sunderland West.

 

Which of the following "big names" will fail to get elected?

 

Chuka Umunna, Dominic Grieve, Anna Soubry, Zac Goldsmith, Dennis Skinner, Caroline Flint, Theresa Villiers, Luciana Berger.

 

Who will win these seats?

 

Canterbury (Lab), Kensington (Lab), Sheffield Hallam (Lib Dem), Ynys Mon (Plaid), Grimsby (Con), Sedgefield (Con), Peterborough (Con), Stoke Central (Lab), Hartlepool (Lab), Rotherham (Lab), Wrexham (Con), Blackpool South (Con)

Stirling (SNP), Loughborough (Con), Hastings & Rye (Con), St. Ives (Con), St. Albans (Lib Dem), Lewes (Con), Southampton Itchen (Con), Fife NE (SNP), Belfast South (DUP), Belfast East (DUP).

 

Tie-break question: Predict turnout to 2 decimal figures (e.g. 65.44%):

 

67.95 %.

[StanSP]

On 05/12/2019 at 11:59, Alf Bentley said:

Election Outcome (5 points if correct)

- Tory majority of 80+

- Tory majority of 40-79

- Tory majority of 20-39

- Tory majority of 1-19

- Hung parliament, Tories biggest party

- Hung parliament, Labour biggest party

- Labour majority

- Other (specify)

 

(Note: Majority increases by 2 with each extra seat - e.g. 326 v. 324 = 2-seat majority, 327 v. 323 = 4-seat majority; Speaker, Deputies & Sinn Fein included in 650 total)

 

Total seats per party (2017 figures in brackets)

Con (335), Lab (229), SNP (41), Lib Dems (16), Plaid (4), Greens (1), Brexit Party (4), DUP (8), Sinn Fein (8), Independents (3), Other - specify (0)

 

(For Con/Lab: 5pts if exact; 3pts if within 5; 1pt if within 10; For SNP/LD: 3pts if exact; 1pt if within 3; for others: 1pt if exact)

 

Name the first 3 seats to declare (any order, 1pt for each), Sunderland Central, Newcastle Central, Sunderland South

 

Early declarers at recent elections have included: Sunderland Central, Sunderland South, Sunderland West, Newcastle Central, Newcastle East, Newcastle North, Torbay, Cheltenham, Wrexham, Guildford, Belfast E & Hamilton.

But how might that be affected by high/low turnout in different areas, icy weather in the grim north, close contests/recounts etc.?

 

"Big name" failures (+1pt for each predicted correctly; -1pt for each predicted incorrectly)

 

Which of the following "big names" will fail to get elected?

 

Boris Johnson, Dominic Raab, Emily Thornberry, Ed Miliband, Jo Swinson, Chuka Umunna, Dominic Grieve, Anna  Soubry, Ian Duncan Smith, Zac Goldsmith, Jess Phillips, Dennis Skinner, Caroline Flint, John Redwood, Theresa Villiers, Tim Farron, Caroline Lucas, Nigel Dodds, Luciana Berger

 

Who will win these seats? (1pt for each; 2017 winner in brackets)

Not sure! 

 

Tie-break question: Predict turnout to 2 decimal figures (e.g. 65.44%):

 

63.12%

Pure guess work and not based on any high level of knowledge for the most part

 

[Strokes]

On 05/12/2019 at 11:59, Alf Bentley said:

Please save all arguments and rhetoric for other threads. This one is all about fun!

 

Predict the general election and you could win a fantastic prize.

 

Insert answers, overwrite, use bold, whatever so long as it's clear.

Submission/editing of entries accepted any time before 9.40 pm on election day (Thurs. 12th December).

 

Election Outcome (5 points if correct)

- Tory majority of 80+

- Tory majority of 40-79

- Tory majority of 20-39

- Tory majority of 1-19

- Hung parliament, Tories biggest party

- Hung parliament, Labour biggest party

- Labour majority

- Other (specify)

 

(Note: Majority increases by 2 with each extra seat - e.g. 326 v. 324 = 2-seat majority, 327 v. 323 = 4-seat majority; Speaker, Deputies & Sinn Fein included in 650 total)

 

Total seats per party (2017 figures in brackets)

Con (317), Lab (262), SNP (35), Lib Dems (12), Plaid (4), Greens (1), Brexit Party (0), DUP (10), Sinn Fein (7), Independents (1), Other - specify (1)

 

(For Con/Lab: 5pts if exact; 3pts if within 5; 1pt if within 10; For SNP/LD: 3pts if exact; 1pt if within 3; for others: 1pt if exact)

 

Name the first 3 seats to declare (any order, 1pt for each)

 

Early declarers at recent elections have included: Sunderland Central, Sunderland South, Sunderland West, Newcastle Central, Newcastle East, Newcastle North, Torbay, Cheltenham, Wrexham, Guildford, Belfast E & Hamilton.

But how might that be affected by high/low turnout in different areas, icy weather in the grim north, close contests/recounts etc.?

 

"Big name" failures (+1pt for each predicted correctly; -1pt for each predicted incorrectly)

 

Which of the following "big names" will fail to get elected?

 

Boris Johnson, Dominic Raab, Emily Thornberry, Ed Miliband, Jo Swinson, Chuka Umunna, Dominic Grieve, Anna  Soubry, Ian Duncan Smith, Zac Goldsmith, Jess Phillips, Dennis Skinner, Caroline Flint, John Redwood, Theresa Villiers, Tim Farron, Caroline Lucas, Nigel Dodds, Luciana Berger

 

Tie-break question: Predict turnout to 2 decimal figures (e.g. 65.44%):

60.72%