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Posted

This Wednesday at 9am.

 

Home games after the EL games is important. 

Always like to have a home game to start, too. 

 

For once can we not have a seriously difficult last 3 as well lol

 

I think we'll get West Ham at home to start. 

Everton at home on Boxing Day. 

Southampton away NYD.

Norwich on final day of the season. 

  • Like 1
Posted

I always like a home game, to start, preferably against a mid table side such as Newcastle. I never fancy playing one of the top 3 sides or a promoted side.

 

Looking forward to fixture release day though. Always a great day in the football diary that one.

Posted (edited)
4 minutes ago, StanSP said:

This Wednesday at 9am.

 

Home games after the EL games is important. 

Always like to have a home game to start, too. 

 

For once can we not have a seriously difficult last 3 as well lol

 

I think we'll get West Ham at home to start. 

Everton at home on Boxing Day. 

Southampton away NYD.

Norwich on final day of the season. 

Everton at home to start (nice boring Nuno 0-0)

 

Newcastle away on boxing day (because the Prem think they are funny)

 

Southampton away NYD (because the Prem think they are funny again)

 

Man Utd, Chelsea, Liverpool final 3

Edited by moore_94
Posted

Give us the big guns early please, Man City, Liverpool and Chelsea in the first six. Leave us with teams like Southampton, Wolves and Newcastle with little to play for in the final 3 games. 

Posted

Pays to get some of the big teams out the way before they find their rhythm as per our 5-2 demolition of Man City.

 

I think ideally you'd have a couple of winnable games to get the confidence going and then one or two of City/Liverpool in the first 5 games.

 

And yeah if we can avoid a difficult end of season that'd make for a nice change.

  • Like 2
Posted
39 minutes ago, Nod.E said:

Pays to get some of the big teams out the way before they find their rhythm as per our 5-2 demolition of Man City.

 

I think ideally you'd have a couple of winnable games to get the confidence going and then one or two of City/Liverpool in the first 5 games.

 

And yeah if we can avoid a difficult end of season that'd make for a nice change.

...it doesn’t matter who we get in the last three...we should have got the job done before we came to play them!!!

  Not being able to deal with pressure is our problem not the teams we have to face at the end of the season. 

Posted

Always like a really tough away game early doors. Gets it out of the way and usually at a time when they are  still bedding in the latest £300m of acquisitions. 

  • Like 3
Posted
6 minutes ago, Xen said:

My first thought was that maybe this was just confirmation bias/short term thinking (not a dig at you, I would've said the exact same). But then actually digging out the fixtures and...

 

20/21: Man U (A) / Chelsea (A) / Spurs (H)

19/20: Sheffield (H) / Spurs (A) / Man U (H)

18/19: Arsenal (H) / Man C (A) / Chelsea (H)

17/18: West Ham (H) / Arsenal (H) / Spurs (A)

16/17: Man C (A) / Spurs (H) / Bournemouth (H)

15/16: Man U (A) / Everton (H) / Chelsea (A)

14/15: Southampton (H) / Sunderland (A) / QPR (H)

 

It's even worse when you look at the figures behind it.

 

The chances of all 3 matches being against the big 6 in any given season is 2%. We've had it twice in 7 seasons (28%)

The chance of at least 2 against the big 6 is 22%. We've had it 6 times out of 7 (86%)

The 14/15 season is the only time we've avoided them all, which should be a 30% chance.

 

We've been painfully unlucky with the fixture scheduling since being promoted. I'd actually be interested to see the statistical significance and whether or not such bad luck could've happened randomly, or if the evidence would actually suggest that something else is at play...

6 seasons in a row we've had 2+ 'greedy 6' in our last 3 games. That's an almost impossible level of bad luck.

Posted (edited)
11 minutes ago, Dan LCFC said:

6 seasons in a row we've had 2+ 'greedy 6' in our last 3 games. That's an almost impossible level of bad luck.

A 0.01% chance, to be exact...

Edited by Xen
  • Like 1
Posted
52 minutes ago, Xen said:

My first thought was that maybe this was just confirmation bias/short term thinking (not a dig at you, I would've said the exact same). But then actually digging out the fixtures and...

 

20/21: Man U (A) / Chelsea (A) / Spurs (H)

19/20: Sheffield (H) / Spurs (A) / Man U (H)

18/19: Arsenal (H) / Man C (A) / Chelsea (H)

17/18: West Ham (H) / Arsenal (H) / Spurs (A)

16/17: Man C (A) / Spurs (H) / Bournemouth (H)

15/16: Man U (A) / Everton (H) / Chelsea (A)

14/15: Southampton (H) / Sunderland (A) / QPR (H)

 

It's even worse when you look at the figures behind it.

 

The chances of all 3 matches being against the big 6 in any given season is 2%. We've had it twice in 7 seasons (28%)

The chance of at least 2 against the big 6 is 22%. We've had it 6 times out of 7 (86%)

The 14/15 season is the only time we've avoided them all, which should be a 30% chance.

 

We've been painfully unlucky with the fixture scheduling since being promoted. I'd actually be interested to see the statistical significance and whether or not such bad luck could've happened randomly, or if the evidence would actually suggest that something else is at play...

 

That's quite incredible, in the last 6 years our last three games have consisted of 14 "greedy six" teams and 4 makeweights.

Posted
58 minutes ago, Xen said:

My first thought was that maybe this was just confirmation bias/short term thinking (not a dig at you, I would've said the exact same). But then actually digging out the fixtures and...

 

20/21: Man U (A) / Chelsea (A) / Spurs (H)

19/20: Sheffield (H) / Spurs (A) / Man U (H)

18/19: Arsenal (H) / Man C (A) / Chelsea (H)

17/18: West Ham (H) / Arsenal (H) / Spurs (A)

16/17: Man C (A) / Spurs (H) / Bournemouth (H)

15/16: Man U (A) / Everton (H) / Chelsea (A)

14/15: Southampton (H) / Sunderland (A) / QPR (H)

 

It's even worse when you look at the figures behind it.

 

The chances of all 3 matches being against the big 6 in any given season is 2%. We've had it twice in 7 seasons (28%)

The chance of at least 2 against the big 6 is 22%. We've had it 6 times out of 7 (86%)

The 14/15 season is the only time we've avoided them all, which should be a 30% chance.

 

We've been painfully unlucky with the fixture scheduling since being promoted. I'd actually be interested to see the statistical significance and whether or not such bad luck could've happened randomly, or if the evidence would actually suggest that something else is at play...

Don't they schedule the big teams playing each other at certain times over the season, like Everton vs. Liverpool & Arsenal vs. Spurs or something on the same day?

 

Might change the percentages slightly, but even so we've been bloody unlucky!

Posted
11 minutes ago, Leicester_Loyal said:

Don't they schedule the big teams playing each other at certain times over the season, like Everton vs. Liverpool & Arsenal vs. Spurs or something on the same day?

 

Might change the percentages slightly, but even so we've been bloody unlucky!

It’s supposed to be random now other than police requests and avoiding two local teams being at home the same day.

 

Iirc it came out a few years ago that they deliberately stopped Big 6 playing each other on the opening and final day, and everyone kicked off so they stopped it.

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