David Guiza Posted 3 March 2016 Share Posted 3 March 2016 I can see 76 being enough, each team has around 4/5 difficult games left, with unusual results along the way too. United, City, Arsenal and Spurs to drop 1, 4, 5 and 8 points respectively isn't out of the question. Pointless predicting but I can't help myself! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighPeakFox Posted 3 March 2016 Share Posted 3 March 2016 It's now, with games running out, that it gets real for us all. I wonder how the players will respond..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Les-TA-Jon Posted 3 March 2016 Author Share Posted 3 March 2016 Remaining Games Run in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Leicesterpool Posted 3 March 2016 Share Posted 3 March 2016 Very interesting. What's clear from this is that we almost certainly won't need 85 points to win it. Probably won't even need 80 points. Yeah I think to win the league this you need only to get 75 points. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ramboacdc Posted 3 March 2016 Share Posted 3 March 2016 Remaining Games Run in spurs got to go to anfield, play a resurgent united and the gunners. arsenal got to go to man city looks like the easier run in. if it comes down to the final game arsenal are nailed on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ScouseFox Posted 3 March 2016 Share Posted 3 March 2016 spurs got to go to anfield, play a resurgent united and the gunners. arsenal got to go to man city looks like the easier run in. if it comes down to the final game arsenal are nailed on. like they were nailed on to make ground on everyone last night with their easy home game? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shen Posted 3 March 2016 Share Posted 3 March 2016 Comparing last season's league table after 28 games with the final standings shows that only Chelsea managed more than 21 points out of the last 30. Chelsea managed 26 points, but frankly, no team this year are as good as they were last year. I don't think Spurs or Arsenal are capable of getting more than 21 points out of their remaining games, which means 76 points should be enough to win.That's another 19 points or 6 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses. Sounds reasonable! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dylanlegend Posted 3 March 2016 Share Posted 3 March 2016 To be honest I'd take 3rd now, don't like how tight it is getting at the top, man city will only be 7 away if they win there game in hand and Utd are 10 points off us, we can't afford to drop that many points and I'd be gutted if we don't make champs league Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobHawk Posted 3 March 2016 Share Posted 3 March 2016 To be fair - its getting to that time of year where it all depends what teams have to play for. Unusually this year - more do than most at the top of the league - but potentially less involved at the bottom. That makes games against the bottom 4 harder (in my eyes) than those in midtable like everton and stoke that are in no mans land. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kristianity77 Posted 3 March 2016 Share Posted 3 March 2016 I still think that if we can get 6 wins from the last 10, its ours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Benguin Posted 3 March 2016 Share Posted 3 March 2016 spurs got to go to anfield, play a resurgent united and the gunners. arsenal got to go to man city looks like the easier run in. if it comes down to the final game arsenal are nailed on. Isn't it quite a common thing in the pl that teams with certain relegation and nothing to play for usually beat teams with everything to play for? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nnfox Posted 3 March 2016 Share Posted 3 March 2016 One thing is for sure, everyone in the top 4 (or 5 or 6) will drop points between now and the end of the season, including us. There is still lots of football to play and no single result will take us out of it or hand it to us. It is maybe different when we are down to 5 games remaining. If any team do go on to win all of their remaining fixtures then they will deserve to win it and fair ply to them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoxFossil Posted 3 March 2016 Share Posted 3 March 2016 Brilliant post this, still interested in how many points we need for CL ?? (plea to bring back 4th place part of table) Bit worried about West Ham and even Chelsea sneeking back into the picture. Dream scenario, 74 points before we go to Man U, then thrash them as Champions! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DJ Barry Hammond Posted 3 March 2016 Share Posted 3 March 2016 Run in Looking at that run-in, there is an argument to say an Arsenal loss might not be the worst thing to happen. Spurs have by far the harder fixtures to manage.Essentially - we could do with winning the next 5 on the spin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Raw Dykes Posted 3 March 2016 Share Posted 3 March 2016 There's still plenty of time for things to change, but I'm feeling pretty good about our chances of finishing the season strongly as it stands, for a number of reasons, including: a) Mainly our performance Tuesday night - I thought we were close to our best after a poor showing against Norwich. If we carry on like that, we won't drop many more points. Was a bit concerned, but now I think the poor performance on Saturday was probably down to the 2 week break. b) An incredible set of results last night. This will be great for morale after battering WBA and only getting a point. I thought maybe one of the rest of the top 4 might drop 2 points. Still can't believe they all lost. Arsenal (currently don't look like they have any more bottle than usual) and Man City (instability due to manager situation?) are both in poor form now. Spurs played badly when it mattered most. Did the pressure get to them? Are they showing signs of fatigue? c) Pressure. We've been 1st place for a long time, so I think that shows we haven't been handling it badly so far. Everyone expected us to be relegated, so there's far less pressure on us in that regard than Arsenal and Man City, who expected to challenge since day 1. Nearly the whole squad were under a lot more pressure this time last year, and dealt with it fantastically. We walked a league title two years ago. Granted, not this division, but the experience gained then could well prove to be priceless now. I don't expect us to win the league, but I do think we'll put in more good performances and get some good results before the end of the season. If we don't win, I reckon it will be down to another club going on a great run, rather than us messing it up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MonmoreStef Posted 3 March 2016 Share Posted 3 March 2016 Those Spurs fixtures are vile. Liverpool, Stoke, Chelsea and Newcaslte away last game isn't looking like many points. Any chance of Villa starting to play . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ric Flair Posted 3 March 2016 Share Posted 3 March 2016 Make no mistake that being top for so long will help us, if Spurs get their noses in front they could shit it and the same with Arsenal who seem destined to self sabotage. The two Manchester clubs cannot be written off but I still think we are in fine fettle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Proolo2 Posted 3 March 2016 Share Posted 3 March 2016 Thanks for the side-to-side fixture table @@Les-TA-Jon. So if we are to divide the table in 4 parts ( I for teams in position 1-5, II for teams in position 6-10, III for teams in position 11-15, IV for teams in position 16-20), this is what next fixtures look like for top 3 teams. I II III IV-----------------------LCFC 1 3 3 3Spurs 2 4 2 2Arsenal 2 1 4 3 A prudent and naive forecats (0 points vs. Class I teams, 1 point vs. Class II teams, 2 points vs. Class III teas, 3 points vs. Class IV teams) gives us: LCFC = 1*0 + 3*1 + 3*2 + 3*3 = 18 Spur = 2*0 + 4*1 + 2*2 + 2*3 = 14 Arse = 2*0 + 1*1 + 4*2 + 3*3 = 18 Highlighting how Spurs have a slightly harder path than LCFC or Arsenal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Les-TA-Jon Posted 3 March 2016 Author Share Posted 3 March 2016 Brilliant post this, still interested in how many points we need for CL ?? (plea to bring back 4th place part of table) Bit worried about West Ham and even Chelsea sneeking back into the picture. Dream scenario, 74 points before we go to Man U, then thrash them as Champions! So the low, lower, average, higher and high requirements for 4th place are 60-64-68-73-79 It's looking likely that around 76-78 will win the league. So that almost certainly rules out 73- or 79 points being required for 4th place. Therefore we probably only need 3-8 more points to 'guarantee' 4th place Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Smiffy Fox Posted 3 March 2016 Share Posted 3 March 2016 I've looked at the remaining fixtures and have the following points totals - Spurs 74 Arsenal 72 Man City 69 18 points needed for us to win it. 5 wins 3 draws and 2 defeats could be enough and certainly isn't being unrealistic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoxFossil Posted 3 March 2016 Share Posted 3 March 2016 To avoid getting ahead of myself I'm looking at the remaining games in blocks of three; first 3 block ends at Watford. A win there would give us 7 points from three games and 60 points in the bag. Next two blocks of three both have 2 home games and 1 away. i.e. 4 home and 2 away. 4 home wins and 2 away draws are not impossible from these games, giving us 74 points when we go to Man Utd. Might already be Champions! So Watford game is really, really important to give us the platform for the following 4 home games out of next 6 games. COYBs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ScouseFox Posted 3 March 2016 Share Posted 3 March 2016 if we win 5 of our next 7 games we will win the league. that's gotta be the aim. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yorkie1999 Posted 3 March 2016 Share Posted 3 March 2016 I think the beer is too expensive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Algerian Posted 3 March 2016 Share Posted 3 March 2016 Ranking before last week: Leicester 71 Tottenham 69 Arsenal 67 And Chelsea will very likely field their 3rd team only to spite spurs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hammered Posted 3 March 2016 Share Posted 3 March 2016 Bit worried about West Ham But how could you be? We're the nicest bunch of cute lambs around Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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