Arriba Los Zorros Posted 5 April 2017 Posted 5 April 2017 It's definitely going to be above 40 this year, I reckon 42 to be safe, as Swansea and Hull both look like they can pick up a few points. I reckon Boro and Sunderland won't make 30 but 18th place will be a high tally. We're not safe yet and churlish to say so, 3 wins would do it though I'd say
Bob Weasel Fox Posted 5 April 2017 Posted 5 April 2017 1 hour ago, harpendenfox said: And not based on any substance frankly Just a gut feeling really should think a little less maybe?
MrSpaM Posted 5 April 2017 Posted 5 April 2017 Not taking last nights win into consideration, but I wouldn't be surprised if this is how the league pans out by the end of the season, maybe with us finishing 10th
Arriba Los Zorros Posted 5 April 2017 Posted 5 April 2017 I think we can say it is LIKELY that Middlesbrough and Sunderland will go down, leaving one place. Hull and Swansea are the prime candidates fighting to avoid this place but realistically, anyone from West Ham down is in serious danger and we're only 3 points ahead of them. Only West Brom and the teams ahead of them can say they are realistically safe right now. Our form should see us through but make no mistake if we go on a losing streak until the end of the season we will almost certainly be relegated
yorkie1999 Posted 5 April 2017 Posted 5 April 2017 Average since 92/93 season is 36.8 but the early prem years had some high points and still get relegated, 49.42.45.38.40.40. The last 16 seasons the average has been 35.3.
Bob Weasel Fox Posted 5 April 2017 Posted 5 April 2017 Think this season could be a spike if you look at Hull and Crystal Palace etc winning game after game early 40's possibly.
boobagab Posted 5 April 2017 Posted 5 April 2017 42-43 should be good enough. Leicester needs about 2 wins and 2 draws at this point. I'm hoping they finish just under WBA in the Top 10.
CKB Posted 5 April 2017 Posted 5 April 2017 I'd say 42, about 2 weeks ago I was like 37 would keep ya safe but it's all changed lately We now have 4 away games on the trot and that does worry me abit. Yes we are playing a lot better and yes we got our first away win against what is looking like a titanic sinking West Ham but one away win doesn't make a summer! I'd have been more confident in getting up to that 42pt mark quicker if we had maybe 2 home games in that 4 game trot. Hopefully we can get to that 42pt mark asap because we could easily get dragged back into the mix if our away form goes back to how it was
mozartfox Posted 6 April 2017 Posted 6 April 2017 I think to come up with something sensible, you would need to check how many 6 pointers there are still to be played out. Blunderland and Boro have more or less gone. The other place is still up for grabs, which is precisely why we cannot afford to fanny about with selection against Everton. Get thumped there and in Madrid and the whole complexion of our season changes again with all these away games coming up. I just hope CS does not copy CR by 'throwing' EPL matches. Domestic Cup games is one thing. We are not safe until we get to 43-44-45. That should be enough.
Aus Fox Posted 6 April 2017 Posted 6 April 2017 Pretty simple equation: We have to equal or better the results of only ONE of Stoke, Bournemouth, Burnley, Crystal Palace, West Ham, Hull OR Swansea.
Nalis Posted 6 April 2017 Posted 6 April 2017 No way is it going to be over 40pts. Hull have had their 'easy' run and their remaining fixtures are tough bar Sunderland at home which they will probably win. Being really generous I have them to finish on 38pts.
stripeyfox Posted 6 April 2017 Posted 6 April 2017 Sunderland, Boro and Swansea to. Be lucky if the Swans get to 36. Last night must have been a real kick in the teeth for both Boro and particularly Swansea.
Steven Posted 6 April 2017 Posted 6 April 2017 Leicester still aren't safe from relegation, says Craig Shakespeare after fifth successive Foxes win The Foxes manager has refused to get ahead of himself, despite his side's recent upturn in results https://www.independent.co.uk/sport/football/premier-league/leicester-sunderland-craig-shakespeare-still-not-safe-relegation-a7667171.html
CosbehFox Posted 10 April 2017 Posted 10 April 2017 A review after the last cluster of games. Form via last six games - 33 points will be enough Form via last ten games - 35 points will be enough Points per game - 34 points will be enough 46 points is the current line of safety. If you mirror the results across from the reverse fixtures:- Hull 34 Palace 32 Swansea 32 Middlesbrough 32 Sunderland 26 Next week's fixtures Saturday 15th Tottenham v Bournemouth 1230 Crystal Palace v Leicester Everton v Burnley Stoke v Hull Sunderland v West Ham Swansea v Everton Southampton v Manchester C 1730 Monday 17th Middlesbrough v Arsenal 2000 Games left to play top six: West Brom 2/6 Hull 1/6 Middlesbrough 4/6 Southampton 5/6 Crystal Palace 5/6 Swansea 1/6 Bournemouth 1/6 Watford 3/6 Burnley 1/6 Stoke 1/6 Sunderland 2/6 Leicester City 3/6
foxfanazer Posted 10 April 2017 Posted 10 April 2017 On Wednesday, April 05, 2017 at 13:51, yorkie1999 said: Average since 92/93 season is 36.8 but the early prem years had some high points and still get relegated, 49.42.45.38.40.40. The last 16 seasons the average has been 35.3. Christ! Who got relegated on 49 points?
HighPeakFox Posted 10 April 2017 Posted 10 April 2017 2 minutes ago, foxfanazer said: Christ! Who got relegated on 49 points? Chrystal Palace, back in the days of a 22 team league.
ClaphamFox Posted 10 April 2017 Posted 10 April 2017 3 minutes ago, foxfanazer said: Christ! Who got relegated on 49 points? Palace in 1993.
foxfanazer Posted 10 April 2017 Posted 10 April 2017 Just now, HighPeakFox said: Chrystal Palace, back in the days of a 22 team league. Ah makes a bit more sense. Still rough though! We won the league with that total according to some
Clever Fox Posted 10 April 2017 Posted 10 April 2017 On 06/04/2017 at 06:29, Aus Fox said: Pretty simple equation: We have to equal or better the results of only ONE of Stoke, Bournemouth, Burnley, Crystal Palace, West Ham, Hull OR Swansea. Exactly, i think 3 or 4 points will be enough but I also expect our Goals tally to improve and be better than most of the above.
Alf Bentley Posted 10 April 2017 Posted 10 April 2017 43 minutes ago, Cardiff_Fox said: Games left to play top six: West Brom 2/6 Hull 1/6 Middlesbrough 4/6 Southampton 5/6 Crystal Palace 5/6 Swansea 1/6 Bournemouth 1/6 Watford 3/6 Burnley 1/6 Stoke 1/6 Sunderland 2/6 Leicester City 3/6 This (above) is part of the reason why we need to avoid complacency. Sunderland & Boro look doomed but Hull & Swansea still look capable of picking up points - and both have only 1/6 remaining against the top 6 (btw West Ham omitted?) It's quite conceivable that Hull and Swansea could both reach 38 points or more....probably not, but certainly possible. That brings Palace into play (5 matches against top 6.....though they did just win at Chelsea). They have 8 matches left, though, not 6: they also have Burnley (H) and Hull (H), very winnable on recent form. Of course, their other "easier" game is against us....immediately after the Atletico 1st leg, when we'll probably be knackered & possibly either dispirited or exhilarated. My guess is that we probably need at least 1 more win to be sure, possibly a win and a draw. We could do with picking those points up in the upcoming away games or a lot could be riding on our last 2 home matches v. Watford & Bournemouth (or Spurs!) Here's a form table: http://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/premier-league/form-guide.html
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