US Presidential Election 2020

[KFS]

Biden ahead in nearly every key state left. The issue is Reps physically came out to vote which is what is now being counted. Could go either way. I have a clear preference in Biden and it looks like Trump will take it.

 

Very interesting four years incoming for my family...

[urban.spaceman]

3 minutes ago, dsr-burnley said:

I think that's because (unlike the UK) they don't cancel the election if a candidate dies.  So if you want a Republican you have to vote for the dead man to get a second election. 

How SHIT do you have to be to lose to a corpse?!

[Lionator]

40 minutes ago, Jon the Hat said:

He will win Wisconsin i think, but has a big gap to close in NC, Penn, Michigan.  He needs Georgia I think, as he won't win the others.  he would need 70% odd of the postal vote I think.

Biden will win Michigan, which will be enough. 

[Strokes]

3 minutes ago, urban.spaceman said:

How SHIT do you have to be to lose to a corpse?!

Maybe Trump is about to find out.

[Sol thewall Bamba]

Biden now ever so slightly favourites in the eyes of the UK bookies, this is crazy! 

[howlinmadmurfdoc]

5 minutes ago, KFS said:

Biden ahead in nearly every key state left. The issue is Reps physically came out to vote which is what is now being counted. Could go either way. I have a clear preference in Biden and it looks like Trump will take it.

 

Very interesting four years incoming for my family...

Media in the U.K. says trumps ahead in all of those states but the postal votes are last to be counted and they will swing them towards Biden.

[Sol thewall Bamba]

16 minutes ago, KFS said:

Why are you lot reading the betting markets like it means anything  

Numbers are much easier to understand mate  

[CosbehFox]

18 minutes ago, urban.spaceman said:

 

Another example in Nevada as well! 

[Mark_w]

4 minutes ago, Lionator said:

Biden will win Michigan, which will be enough. 

Will it though?

Even if he takes Arizona/Nevada/Wisconsin (as I think is expected) and Michigan, he still needs one of PA/GA doesn't he? I know it looks likely he'll take Georgia (more so than MI I think) but both of those look like they could be close enough that we're looking at recounts and legal challenges.

I think Biden probably takes a narrow legitimate win if the vote is counted fairly, but regardless Trump will probably find a way to stay in office from this position. It's close enough that the Supreme Court can make it happen.

[CosbehFox]

Like test match cricket this. Nothing is happening but everything is happening.
 

Us Brits more like a 50 over affair when it comes to elections. 

 

China of course 20/20. North Korea one ball innings 

[KFS]

8 minutes ago, Sol thewall Bamba said:

Numbers are much easier to understand mate  

Text me mate, I am the election whisperer  

 

 

[KFS]

That Pennsylvania result was looking damning when I woke up but they’ve just looked into it on CNN... Looks like loads of the Dem counties haven’t counted yet. Could be a late swing yet. 

[KFS]

Got to laugh or you’ll cry  

[Guest Manini]

Well CNN is my new favourite news channel. It’s like MNF but not hosted by arseholes. 

[KFS]

Just now, Manini said:

Well CNN is my new favourite news channel. It’s like MNF but not hosted by arseholes. 

Chris Cuomo is my guy 

[Finnegan]

9 minutes ago, Sol thewall Bamba said:

Biden now ever so slightly favourites in the eyes of the UK bookies, this is crazy! 

 

when I went to bed last night it was 2/1 Trump, 1/2 Biden. When I woke up this morning that had flipped to mirror. 

 

Now it's 9/10 Biden again. 

 

Think Biden will miss out on PA even with a massive postal swing, he's so far behind I think he'll wind up a few percent off. 

 

Michigan, Wisconsin and Georgia all look like they might flip on the postal vote though as postal are coming in about 65:35 in Biden's favour. 

 

It's funny, cos you could tell from Trump's "victory" speech that it was more of a concession when he started predictably blabbing about fraud. I imagine that's the point the bookies switched. 

 

Still way too early to say though. If the current AP projection showing on Google sticks (they've got Biden taking NV and WI) then Biden only needs one of MI, GA or PA. But literally all of those could still go Trump. They'll all be close. Which is still pretty depressing in itself.

 

 

[Leicester_Loyal]

This is mental! Glad I went bed and got a few hours sleep! 

[Finnegan]

7 minutes ago, Mark_w said:

Will it though?

Even if he takes Arizona/Nevada/Wisconsin (as I think is expected) and Michigan, he still needs one of PA/GA doesn't he? I know it looks likely he'll take Georgia (more so than MI I think) but both of those look like they could be close enough that we're looking at recounts and legal challenges.

I think Biden probably takes a narrow legitimate win if the vote is counted fairly, but regardless Trump will probably find a way to stay in office from this position. It's close enough that the Supreme Court can make it happen.

 

AP have called Arizona, that's done. If he takes WI and NV then he's 16 short of 270 I think? He'd only need one of Michigan, Georgia or PA then. 

[Jon the Hat]

7 minutes ago, Mark_w said:

Will it though?

Even if he takes Arizona/Nevada/Wisconsin (as I think is expected) and Michigan, he still needs one of PA/GA doesn't he? I know it looks likely he'll take Georgia (more so than MI I think) but both of those look like they could be close enough that we're looking at recounts and legal challenges.

I think Biden probably takes a narrow legitimate win if the vote is counted fairly, but regardless Trump will probably find a way to stay in office from this position. It's close enough that the Supreme Court can make it happen.

If Biden Wins Arizona/Nevada/Wisconsin and Michigan he will be on 267

[Nalis]

22 minutes ago, urban.spaceman said:

How SHIT do you have to be to lose to a corpse?!

A corpse wont lie and is consistent.

 

Gets my vote.

[shen]

Which news source that covers the election would you recommend?

[martyn]

9 minutes ago, Finnegan said:

 

when I went to bed last night it was 2/1 Trump, 1/2 Biden. When I woke up this morning that had flipped to mirror. 

 

Now it's 9/10 Biden again. 

 

Think Biden will miss out on PA even with a massive postal swing, he's so far behind I think he'll wind up a few percent off. 

 

Michigan, Wisconsin and Georgia all look like they might flip on the postal vote though as postal are coming in about 65:35 in Biden's favour. 

 

It's funny, cos you could tell from Trump's "victory" speech that it was more of a concession when he started predictably blabbing about fraud. I imagine that's the point the bookies switched. 

 

Still way too early to say though. If the current AP projection showing on Google sticks (they've got Biden taking NV and WI) then Biden only needs one of MI, GA or PA. But literally all of those could still go Trump. They'll all be close. Which is still pretty depressing in itself.

 

 

Was checking the betting markets. The big swing in the odds started when Wisconsin flipped. Trump went from about 1.3 to 2 ish on Betfair in about 15 mins.

Edited 4 November 2020 by martyn

[Voll Blau]

2 minutes ago, shen said:

Which news source that covers the election would you recommend?

CNN have been my go-to this morning.

[Finnegan]

1 minute ago, martyn said:

Was checking the betting markets. The big swing in the odds started when Wiscosin flipped. Trump went from about 1.3 to 2 ish on Betfair in about 15 mins.

 

Yeah that makes sense. 

[Mark_w]

7 minutes ago, Finnegan said:

 

AP have called Arizona, that's done. If he takes WI and NV then he's 16 short of 270 I think? He'd only need one of Michigan, Georgia or PA then. 

I dunno probably. Have the districts in Maine/Nebraska all been called?