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Wymsey

US Presidential Election 2020

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It's simple as this:

Trump - let's learn to live with Covid and open up. People's lives depend on normalcy returning.

 

Biden - Winter of Darkness, mandatory masks and more lockdowns - SAFETY UBER ALLES

 

Trump - Law and order, defend the police, stop the looting.

 

Biden - Defund the police, it's peaceful protesting not looting.

 

This is heavily oversimplified, and I'm assigning surrogate positions to the main candidates, but I really think these are the two critical things that the pollsters missed and the media missed. Both are areas that the 'shy Trump/tory' effect were most evident.

 

People can look at graphs that say that COVID is 99.9% nonlethal for those under 75 and recognize extended shut downs are a gross overreaction. They can also see storefronts and police stations torched and not call it protesting. 

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1 minute ago, nnickn said:

eh?, he looks like winning further than Shergar

All of the critical swing states bar Florida - North Carolina, Penn, Arizona, Georgia, Ohio are still in play. Provided Michigan and Wisconsin go Dem Biden only needs one of those. To say nothing of the postal ballots yet to be counted.

 

This is still very much early doors.

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2 minutes ago, nnickn said:

eh?, he looks like winning further than Shergar

Arizona. Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin were all Trump states last time and are too early to call this time.  If he loses three of those, he'll probably lose.  I don't think there are really any more vulnerable ones unless Georgia goes.  

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8 minutes ago, st albans fox said:

And that’s where the problems start as trump has set the narrative on them and the democrats haven’t corrected that 

There were always going to be problems if Biden didn't win by a landslide. The hopes for a blue Senate are also probably gone.

 

That with Trump's massive Covid feck-up and a tanking economy. Biden would've been utterly destroyed if it weren't for Rona. Was he really the best candidate the Dems could come up with?

 

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