2020/21 - The Run In and Top 4 chances - an Ongoing Analysis

[Corky]

We'll know far more by the time of our next league game. Any dropped points by Liverpool, West Ham and Everton is huge now with all of them in must win every game territory before the last day of the season.

[Beachyboy]

Hodgson is going to retire end of the season all set up for a victory for him on the last day of the season against his former employees Liverpool 1 Crystal Palace 3.

[Nick]

I’m thinking that Chelsea will rest players and lose tomorrow. And when we beat them (again) next Tuesday they will only be picking up three more points in the PL but they’ll save their season by beating Man City in the CL final.

[KFS]

Just now, Nick said:

I’m thinking that Chelsea will rest players and lose tomorrow. And when we beat them (again) next Tuesday they will only be picking up three more points in the PL but they’ll save their season by beating Man City in the CL final.

I like the optimism but I don’t see it unfortunately!

[Lichfieldfox.]

2 hours ago, KingsX said:

What a difference one game can make.

 

I know this is a computer generated simulation but 3rd and 4th points here can't happen as we play each other. Chelsea can get 70 (2W 1L) but if they do we can only end up on 66, 67, 69 or 72. If we have 2 draws and get 68 Chelsea can only end on 65, 66, 67, 68, 69 or 71

[Gerard]

The Man Utd vs Liverpool match is so huge for us, a home win and the other three teams that can still catch us would need every game left in the season to go their way.

 

We'll be cheering on Man Utd more than their supporters that they may as well put Rashford & Co in blue kits with the "Thailand smiles with you" logo across their chests.

[Gerard]

Such a shame Manchester City didn't beat Chelsea at the weekend either with a first XI or Aguero slotting his penalty to make it 2-0.

 

Chelsea being 5pts behind us now with Arsenal tomorrow would have given us loads of other outs.

[CosbehFox]

I haven’t done the maths but is there any way that if Chelsea and us mutually draw next Wednesday, it’s done?

 

Just checked - yes if L’pool and West Ham slip up 

Edited 11 May 2021 by Cardiff_Fox

[HighPeakFox]

Just now, Cardiff_Fox said:

I haven’t done the maths but is there any way that if Chelsea and us mutually draw next Wednesday, it’s done?

I am sure there will be a set of results that makes that so, yes.

[chapero82]

Just now, Cardiff_Fox said:

I haven’t done the maths but is there any way that if Chelsea and us mutually draw next Wednesday, it’s done?

I think it depends on other results before the match 

[martyn]

2 minutes ago, Cardiff_Fox said:

I haven’t done the maths but is there any way that if Chelsea and us mutually draw next Wednesday, it’s done?

If in the interim:

 

Liverpool lose at Man Utd, or lose to West Brom, or draw both.

Everton drop points at Villa or at home to Sheffield United

West Ham drop points at Brighton

 

Edited 11 May 2021 by martyn

[foxes_rule1978]

Just now, martyn said:

If in the interim:

 

Liverpool lose at Man Utd

Everton drop points at Villa

West Ham drop points at Brighton

 

To be honest Everton and West Ham would never catch us on GD... so if Liverpool lose to Man U and Chelsea beat arsenal tomorrow... then we can just pass the ball around in the middle next week. 

[fuchsntf]

There is no easy way out...We  win the last 2 PL games..,no questions Left open...!!!

Though 3 wins would even be better...

[Gerard]

40 minutes ago, Cardiff_Fox said:

I haven’t done the maths but is there any way that if Chelsea and us mutually draw next Wednesday, it’s done?

 

Just checked - yes if L’pool and West Ham slip up 

 

It could be done as soon as Sunday, imagine winning the FA Cup on Saturday and securing CL football on Sunday. If Carlsberg did weekends..................

[Kingleicester]

1 hour ago, Nick said:

I’m thinking that Chelsea will rest players and lose tomorrow. And when we beat them (again) next Tuesday they will only be picking up three more points in the PL but they’ll save their season by beating Man City in the CL final.

I don’t think they will rest players tomorrow tbf

[Rsswmu]

36 minutes ago, fuchsntf said:

There is no easy way out...We  win the last 2 PL games..,no questions Left open...!!!

Though 3 wins would even be better...

4 points would put us on 70 and guarantee top 4

[tom27111]

Me looking at the table right now

 

 

[STUHILL]

Feels weird coming on here and seeing all this optimism. 

 

There is still work to be done. We could easily lose our next 2 league games 

 

I really don't want to be going into the Spurs game needing 3 points. Even 1 could be really tough when you are up against Kane/Son combo. 

 

For some reason, I feel we can get a draw against Chelsea though, so not sure how that helps us over all. Man U have to beat Liverpool IMO 

[UpTheLeagueFox]

3 hours ago, Arriba Los Zorros said:

Europa League would be so disappointing from here we may as well not bother.

I assume you're joking.

If not, wow, turning our noses up at any European football?

 

1 hour ago, Cardiff_Fox said:

I haven’t done the maths but is there any way that if Chelsea and us mutually draw next Wednesday, it’s done?

We're playing them Saturday, Tuesday AND Wednesday? Blimey.

[Koke]

Still feel we need 3 more points. I'm not quite sure I trust these players to get a result on the last day with the pressure on but we should beat Spurs. Hopefully United win on Thursday and we can relax a little.

[OntarioFox]

Still bothers me that some of you seem content with a draw to Chelsea in the league.

 

Sure, it would still be beneficial to us, but I want to beat them twice next week and ruin their domestic season for being one of the ESL snakes.

 

If it's Liverpool that pip them, so be it, but I want to do our job of spoiling the cartel to whatever extent we can.

Edited 12 May 2021 by OntarioFox

[STUHILL]

So if Liverpool win 3 out of their 4 remaining and/or West Ham win 3 out of 3, (which IMO 1 is quite possible) we still need at least 1 point + hold that +10 goal difference over West Ham, which could narrow with 3 wins from them and a loss for us. 

 

This is still far from over IMO. It could easily come down to needing a draw out of the Spurs game if we lose away to Chelsea. 

 

I'm all for the optimism but this is Leicester! Work to do and more stress no doubt 

 

 

[coolhandfox]

Chelsea beat Arsenal, Liverpool lose to United.

 

Us and Chelsea can just pass the ball around the back next week and settle for a draw.

[CosbehFox]

6 hours ago, UpTheLeagueFox said:

I

 

We're playing them Saturday, Tuesday AND Wednesday? Blimey.

Not helped by Luke Thomas being unsure post match 😂

[Duncan_K]

4 hours ago, STUHILL said:

So if Liverpool win 3 out of their 4 remaining and/or West Ham win 3 out of 3, (which IMO 1 is quite possible) we still need at least 1 point + hold that +10 goal difference over West Ham, which could narrow with 3 wins from them and a loss for us. 

 

This is still far from over IMO. It could easily come down to needing a draw out of the Spurs game if we lose away to Chelsea. 

 

I'm all for the optimism but this is Leicester! Work to do and more stress no doubt 

 

 

I get this completely. Clearly it’s not done and if all the other results go against us then even a win and a loss or two draws won’t be enough for us. 
 

But if we were to fail, I think failing with 68 or 69 points would just be bad luck and Liverpool exerting their class over the end of the season. Whereas before last night missing out on 63 or 64 points would have been totally bottling it. 
 

I’d love to win the cup and get top 4 and I don’t care how much luck or how badly we play if we manage it. But if we don’t manage it then it’ll feel better if we’ve fired our shots.